Rarely do we get the opportunity to see ranked teams versus ranked teams in every time slot, but this is one of those weeks. When we look at the College Football Playoff's final four teams this could be one of those weekends that defines which teams are in or out.
I gained some ground last week in our yearlong pick off with Walking on Sunshine at Razorbloggers.net after finally putting up a winning card. It sets up for a nice final month of games to determine which blog has the best bettor.
See the other guy's picks here.
No. 12 Baylor at No. 15 Oklahoma (-6 OU)- A year ago the Bears laid a smackdown of epic proportions on the Sooners, 41-12. And with the way OU has dominated the Big 12 in years past it's hard to imagine they lay an egg two years in a row. Can "Big Game Bob" not live up to his nickname and win a game that has been circled on the calendar since the schedule came out? Nope. Take the Bears.
No. 20 Georgia at Kentucky (-10 UGA)- Last week was an abomination for the Dawgs' defense, and if feels like Florida is still racking up rushing yards. Kentucky had a poor offensive showing at Missouri after looking like they could at least make better teams work for it when they hosted Mississippi State. Take Georgia to come out with the inspiration they should have played with one week late.
Texas A&M at No. 3 Auburn (-23 Auburn)- The battle of fast offenses. After the first weekend, this was a can't-miss game because of the faith instilled in the A&M offense after they dismantled South Carolina. Fast forward 10 weeks and the difference here will be the Aggie's freshman quarterback Kyle Allen is making his first start on the road. Take the points.
No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 9 Arizona State (-2.5 ASU)- Notre Dame continues its national recruiting tour, going from coast to coast. Really. Their travel schedule is more intense than an NBA team, going as far northeast as Boston College and southeast as Florida State. Now they start their west coast swing, playing in Tempe this week and in Los Angeles in two more weeks. That ACC schedule... The last "big game" for Arizona State, the Sun Devils were blown out at home by UCLA, 62-27. I am dumb and will give Todd Graham and his crew the benefit of the doubt to win by a field goal.
No. 7 Kansas State at No. 6 TCU (-6 TCU)- Yet another de facto elimination game for the Big 12's playoff berth. This game features a battle of contrasting styles of offense. TCU will look to go all Big 12, speed up the pace and treu for 100 points, while the Wildcats will try to go all Big 10 and slow the pace down to the pace of dripping syrup. Before last week's "win" in Morgantown, the Horned Frogs were 7-0 against the spread. Give me the purple team to cover. See what I did there? TCU by a touchdown.
No. 5 Alabama at No. 16 LSU (-6 Bama)- A) Your uncle riles up Thanksgiving dinner with election/political talk. B) The Cowboys post a winning record C) LSU-Bama determines the SEC West. Which is more likely to happen every November? This year is no different. Blake Sims looked about as good as you can throwing to one receiver in front of a rowdy, hostile crowd in Knoxville. He'll have to provide more against a talented, yet young, LSU secondary. The Tide, though going into Death Valley at night are favored in their 829th consecutive game under Nick Saban, however the point spread is too much for me not to take the Tigers.
No. 14 Ohio State at No. 8 Michigan State (-3 MSU)- SB Nation's own Bill Connelly put together a nice preview which serves as a reminder of the number of times the Spartans have played spoiler to Ohio State's national title hopes. Well, Buckeyes... here is your chance to foil MSU's playoff berth. Ohio State's J.T. Barrett has improved with as his number of snaps have increased, now completing 65 percent averaging 13 yards per completion on 3-and-long. He'll have plenty of opportunity to improve these numbers against a Spartan defense that gives up 20 points per game. That said, I think Urban will be eating a lonely personal pan after another loss and cover from the Spartans.
No. 4 Oregon at No. 17 Utah (-8 UO)- The one good part about the rise of the Pac-12 is the late games are more meaningful and worth staying up to watch. Utah beat me once before this season by beating USC, but I still have a hard time believing in the Utes. Take the Ducks and their points.
Last week: 5-4
Season: Arkansas Fight (39-52-4, 42.9%), Razorbloggers (25-32-2, 43.9%)